Friday, January 1, 2021

Nifty View for Monday and next week

Math-0-Magic 
Syed Mansur Ali 
 Educated Prediction of Nifty and Market for this Week  ( 04/01/2020)


Nifty at all time High Zone 
Price pushing to unknown Bullish Zone and People are trying to pull its leg to down in a known zone.

Question is whether nifty will make sharp correction or make price adjustment?
None know the actual and correct answer?
Had I have the answer ( definite) I would not have told you rather earned by myself only.
As I can have a educated guess, I can share here for your inputs  either to correct myself or more cautious.

A.     Segment of Analysis Based on Option Chain

First I am to first calculate the  weekly and monthly range level of nifty.

Level 1Level 2Level 3
BULL SIDE14,230.1014403.1514,576.20
BEAR SIDE13,806.9013633.8513,460.80

This week we may see upside 14230.10 to 13806.90 and if this two levels are broken by Wednesday, then only further breakout for next levels, however as of now based on present OC Monthly range levels are within 14576 to 13460.


Second aspect of consideration how OC is formed 

14000 is now POC ( Point of Control) with VAH ( Value Area High) at 14300 and VAL ( Value area low ) at 13800.

14300 CE writers are slightly more that PUT writers  in Weekly OC but in Monthly OC 14000 PE writers are more stronger.

IV  still not in favour of the Bears.

Hidden PCR in weekly is >0.57  and Monthly  is<0.30

As there is less data in OC we may see better picture on 5th Jan, 2021 at close.

I  am getting Price level 15000 and 13300 in My my reading. 
Something is happening in this two places, so more data may show us further direction and we don't have problem to follow that in coming days,


B.     Segment of Analysis Based on Participants data  it appears to me Clients are Bullish and they continuing with their Sell Position in Nifty PUTS , thus we can say PUTs Bulati Hai Magar Janeka nei because FII are not Bearish.

C.    Chart on Candle Stick  in higher time frame there is no iota of bearishness and my personal  chart set is not allowing to to take Sell Position.


D. Now coming to VIX data  and IV  I have found some support and resistance in addition to my Magic Levels ( which i shared in my previous posts)
NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up SideDown Side
14,135.5913,901.41
14,298.0613,738.94
14,508.8313,528.17
14,665.4413,370.10
14,867.4213,169.58
CMP SPOT14,018.50

E. Now coming to Market Profile Chart what I find is a profile which is P type ( long liquidation)  and it is coming after a Balanced Profile.




This is my multi dimensional Nifty Study which I for myself.
I am no one to suggest any trade
I am only sharing my understanding which is not 100% correct. 








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 Tomorrow werkly expiry of nifty So better flow of market information be heard without any noise and data development be look into