Old Journey in a New Path, 2025

Desi Market Profile 

 Author : Syed Mansur Ali 

 Telegram : @Ali_Syed77

From 1st of January 2025, I will be trying to publish my reading on market and allied instruments in my blog to reach to you all.

Already I have posted in my telegram channel @Ali_Syed77 about the probable levels of support and resistance for the entire year 2025.However again I am sharing the levels with you.

This is my nifty support and resistance calculation for the entire year 2025 prepared on the eve of last expiry of 2024 of nifty when price was quoting at 23,750.20 So as present nifty bulls only may get activated if price close above 24249.58 (24250) spot and Bears will be more active if 23250.82 ( 23250) spot is broken. This is a wide range calculation so we can mark these levels on nifty spot chart and study with lower time frame charts with the change in price action and data developments.

I will be trying make educated hypos of stocks and index in coming days and this Blog Page will keeping the record.

Apart from the chart study I will also try to share my reading /observation or approach to study price action under the preview of Desi Market Profile which is basic of all  and in addition to that some 
observation on Data points, reading of wicks to read Smart Money Action, Technical Indicator like RSI  and its behavior. Moving averages and my stuff of Arthasashtra Inputs on number science with Magic Sheet   Level .


Looking forward from tomorrow itself to post my reading on regular basis.

EPISODE # 2

 EPISODE # 2

Based on VIX  levels, found this Support and resistance

NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up Side	Down Side
14,432.25	14,311.55
14,515.98	14,227.82
14,624.60	14,119.20
14,705.32	14,037.73
14,809.42	13,934.38
CMP SPOT	14,371.90

Monday and onward nifty seems to move in between :

14,648.50	14,095.30
weekly	range

Just for info POC level 14440 is still valid till the expiry of this month.

EPISODE 1 : Participants data reading

EPISODE No. 1

So far My understanding is concerned or what I could understand I am sharing here.

Do not be influenced with my study notes 

Participant Data is speaking otherwise in terms of the last two days Price Correction from Nifty ATH Area.

I am speaking about divergence in data and price action.

Aisa nei hona tha /Aisa nei hona tha / fir aisa kaise hua ( Bulls are asking ) 

In comparison to previous data  FII are keeping light their position but they are not short or bearish  in that sense where as Clients were short in INDEX FUT but they are also keeping light position but they are still bearish.

Now question whether Nifty Terrorist Party will allow the Clients to win  the Battle of Jan, 2021 series. 

Nifty # Educated Prediction # 15/01/2021

 Nifty 

CMP Spot: 14,595.60

As per present set up in OC I found following levels for Weekly and Monthly range 

14,868.60	14,322.60	15,010.60	14,180.60
weekly	range	monthly	range

The Resistance in Weekly level is coming at 14868 and support at 14322 and breaking this two levels only only break out levels would be target area, As per previous week read 14660 was resistance in Monthly range, which has been almost touched. 

SO far vix levels suggesting me following  support and resistance levels for tomorrow.

NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up Side	Down Side
14,704.62	14,486.58
14,855.87	14,335.33
15,052.10	14,139.10
15,197.91	13,991.93
15,385.96	13,805.24
CMP SPOT	14,595.60

Chart on 30 Mins time frame there is interesting levels:

I am skipping Data inputs today as the data may come in better shape tomorrow.

Keep well 

 Math-0-Magic 

Syed Mansur Ali 

14-01-2021

Nifty # Educated Prediction # for 14-01-2021

 Nifty CMP : 14,564.85

New Year is just giving Nifty Short holders a shock one after another.

Hope my fellow brothers in Math-0-Magic channel will agree, we do not have any short-short type of set up on positional basis.

At least now a days, looking at RSI and Divergence study, many would agree the concept of overbought and oversold sometimes get diluted.

When nifty was trading far down from today's high level, our Math-0-Magic was suggesting levels and  the CJ strategy based on Desi Market Profile restrained us from taking short side trade.

Be that as it may , coming to nifty present position, yes we have successfully crossed another base level price gate as well as upside reversal gate as expected on consolidation in between certain levels as per Magic Sheet Levels.

Today, next base level price gate was touched  and reversed as Weekly Break out level and almost attained the Monthly expected level of 14660.

Tomorrow is weekly expiry. Last Expiry was negative. Let's see how data behaves and where we move ahead.

Let me show you all, why I am not getting weakness in Technical Charts of Nifty as of now on different Time Frame.

These Charts will be validated on the act and action of the makers in coming days.

I may be wrong in reading data ( I am not professional data analyst) but what I could read FII are not at all Bearish as per todays data, they more long position than the Short position of the Clients. The number of PUT sold by the Clients as per me has been already eaten up by the FII. So I am expecting, the FII would keep the Clients in loop so long they are net shorter in INDEX. 

As per my VIX levels reading, I find some level of support and resistance for tomorrow :

NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up Side	Down Side
14,678.50	14,451.20
14,836.18	14,293.52
15,040.74	14,088.96
15,192.75	13,935.53
15,388.79	13,740.91
CMP SPOT	14,564.85

So far weekly range as previously shared it is oblivious  range is shifting to other levels and even then also 14660 would be stiff level to cross.

14,659.30	14,470.40	15,015.85	14,113.85
weekly	range	monthly	range

Nifty only sustaining above 14641 will fire up again else it need to go side way to get more fuel for future run.

Now coming to OC in weekly and Monthly Both Hidden PCR and IV is not supporting Bears as of now.

Tomorrow expiry so all data may get altered very fast, however why I see 14100 once again in my system along with 15000 levels.

Keep Learning # Keep Earning # Keep Calm and Happy from inside

Good Luck

Math-0-Magic
13/01/2021


Disclaimer: This write up is for only learning and academic purpose. Please do not take any trade decision based on this write up. Please consult your financial adviser. I am not a SEBI registered analyst.

 

MAD BULLS 

BAD BULLS

BREAKING RNAGE WTH FATAKA MOVE AND SHIFTING HIGHER SIDE

14,714.80	14,412.10	15,026.45	14,100.45
WEEKLY RANGE		MONTHLY RANGE

SUPOORT AND RESISTANCE 

NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up Side	Down Side
14,678.34	14,448.56
14,837.76	14,289.14
15,044.57	14,082.33
15,198.24	13,927.22
15,396.44	13,730.46
CMP SPOT	14,563.45

Nifty # Education Prediction # 11/01/2021

  

Math-0-Magic 

Every day new Greenery in Nifty # Mad Bulls with Big Horns just Killing Bears.

Yes, No doubt in all time frame Nifty Chart is Bullish and Due to Higher VIX ( abnormal one ) helped option buyers. writers may not have enjoyed.

Based on VIX and IV found support and resistance for tomorrow 

NIFTY CALCULATOR
Up Side	Down Side
14,599.94	14,369.56
14,759.78	14,209.72
14,967.12	14,002.38
15,121.20	13,846.86
15,319.91	13,649.59
CMP SPOT	14,484.75

If you are you following # Desi MP as discussed before, you may have noted what should be position you should be stick to. ( C and J Candle Strategy) 

Nifty is trading above Weekly Range  which was posted on 08/01/2021 was from  14387   to 13887 and there was shifting of range in higher side, now Monthly Range as per calculation from 14626 to 13648  is to be seen  and how price is behaving at this stage is be carefully observed.

Now this range shifted to 

14,538.80	14,155.70	14,819.75	13,874.75
Weekly	Range	Monthly	Range

I am not putting any insight as per Magic Level Sheet today. 

Now coming to weekly set up on Option Chain Hidden PCR increased from last day and now is at 0.50 ( this is a caution sign)  and there is not much confidence so far IV position is concerned.  In one word something dicey.

However Monthly OC Hidden PCR is below 0.20 which is good on overall stricture.

There is 99 times excess  Put writing over Call writing in Monthly OC, but only 9 times  excess PUT writing in Weekly OC.

Keep Digging Keep Learning Keep Earning

Math-0-Magic 

Syed Mansur Ali 

 

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13,887.30